By Herbert I. Weisberg
An unique account of willful lack of awareness and the way this precept pertains to sleek likelihood and statistical methods
Through a sequence of colourful tales approximately nice thinkers and the issues they selected to resolve, the writer strains the ancient evolution of chance and explains how statistical tools have helped to propel medical study. even if, the previous good fortune of information has relied on tremendous, planned simplifications amounting to willful lack of understanding, and this very luck now threatens destiny advances in drugs, the social sciences, and different fields. boundaries of present equipment lead to common reversals of medical findings and proposals, to the consternation of either scientists and the lay public.
Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of relating to chance because the complete degree of our uncertainty. The booklet explains how statistical technique, although tremendously efficient and influential during the last century, is forthcoming a hindrance. The deep and troubling divide among qualitative and quantitative modes of study, and among learn and perform, are reflections of this underlying challenge. the writer outlines a course towards the re-engineering of information research to assist shut those gaps and speed up medical discovery.
Willful lack of knowledge: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty offers crucial details and novel rules that are supposed to be of curiosity to somebody inquisitive about the way forward for medical examine. The booklet is principally pertinent for pros in facts and comparable fields, together with training and examine clinicians, biomedical and social technological know-how researchers, enterprise leaders, and policy-makers.